Current:Home > StocksChina is edging toward deflation. Here's what that means. -Secure Horizon Growth
China is edging toward deflation. Here's what that means.
View
Date:2025-04-16 12:56:22
Whereas the U.S. continues to grapple with elevated prices, China is dealing with the opposite problem. In July, the world's second largest economy slipped into deflationary territory, with consumer prices declining 0.3% from a year earlier.
The decline in consumer prices sets China apart in more ways than one. In the post-COVID era, many nations, ranging from the U.K. to the U.S., have struggled with high inflation sparked by a combination of government spending and tight labor markets, which have sent their economies into overdrive.
China's deflation comes amid high unemployment for its younger workers, with more than 1 in 5 people between 16 to 24 unable to find a job. Meanwhile, the country's economic activity fizzled out earlier than expected following the lifting of virus controls, prompting Chinese leaders to try to shore up business and consumer activity.
- China's Xi Jinping meets "old friend" Henry Kissinger
- China accuses U.S. of turning Taiwan into "powder keg
- Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen says China trip "has been successful" in forging relationships
"China's economic trajectory has been a focal point of global attention for decades, with its staggering growth and transformation capturing the world's imagination," noted Nigel Green of wealth management company deVere Group in a Wednesday research note. "But the recent emergence of serious deflationary pressures in the world's second-largest economy is triggering concerns that extend well beyond its borders."
Here's what to know about deflation.
What is deflation?
Deflation is a decline in overall price levels, and is the opposite of inflation, when prices rise over a period of time.
Deflation typically is linked with economic downturns, such as during the Great Depression in the U.S. during the 1930s, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
Is deflation bad?
Deflation might seem like a good trend, at least on the face of it — after all, if prices decline, that means your paycheck will go farther because and, in theory at least, you'll have more purchasing power.
But deflation's impact can hit a nation's broader economy in a number of negative ways. For one, if people believe items will cost less next week or next month, they may hold off on buying products or services, strangling the lifeblood of an economy: consumer spending.
If that happens, companies could respond by cutting workers, trimming wages or making other adjustments.
Secondly, deflation is a negative for people or businesses with debt, such as mortgages or other loans. That's because even though prices are falling, the value of debt doesn't change, which puts pressure on consumers and businesses to cut spending in order to service their debt payments.
Why is China experiencing deflation?
China's deflation appears to be coming from two sectors — transportation and food, with pork prices down 26% year over year, Ben Emons, senior portfolio manager and head of fixed income at NewEdge Wealth, said in a Wednesday research note.
Stripping out volatile food and energy prices, China's consumer price index rose 0.8% in July, he noted. Overall, the deflation experienced last month in China is "mild" and could be quickly reversed, Emons added.
"China may be in deflation but that is less likely to persist as the Chinese government is set on hitting the GDP target of 5.5%," he wrote. "Moreover, pork-driven disinflation can be manipulated, which means that China CPI deflation is likely to reverse quickly."
Could deflation in China impact the U.S.?
It's possible, partly because the U.S. imports a lot of goods from China, according to economists and market experts.
"As its exports become cheaper due to deflation, other economies might face increased competition, forcing them to lower their own prices or risk losing market share," Green of deVere group noted.
He added, "Also, reduced demand for raw materials and commodities due to its economic slowdown is likely to lead to a decrease in global commodity prices."
- In:
- China
veryGood! (769)
Related
- Buckingham Palace staff under investigation for 'bar brawl'
- How long can ground beef stay in the fridge? Here's how to tell if the meat is still good
- Haitian university officials face investigation over allegations of sexual abuse
- Prince William Visits Kate Middleton in Hospital Amid Her Recovery From Surgery
- Chuck Scarborough signs off: Hoda Kotb, Al Roker tribute legendary New York anchor
- Stock market today: Asian shares trade mixed after Wall Street dips amid dimming rate cut hopes
- Spelman College receives $100 million donation, the highest in the college's history
- Grading Pascal Siakam trade to Pacers. How Raptors, Pelicans also made out
- Google unveils a quantum chip. Could it help unlock the universe's deepest secrets?
- BAFTA nominations 2024: 'Oppenheimer,' 'Poor Things' lead
Ranking
- The White House is cracking down on overdraft fees
- A look inside the Icon of the Seas, the world's biggest cruise ship, as it prepares for voyage
- Rhea Perlman, Danny DeVito and when couples stay married long after they've split
- Where is the coldest city in the U.S. today? Here's where temperatures are lowest right now.
- The FBI should have done more to collect intelligence before the Capitol riot, watchdog finds
- Can AI detect skin cancer? FDA authorizes use of device to help doctors identify suspicious moles.
- Nevada Supreme Court panel won’t reconsider ‘Dances With Wolves’ actor Nathan Chasing Horse case
- Usher's Vogue cover sparks backlash: He deserves 'his own cover,' fans argue
Recommendation
Nearly half of US teens are online ‘constantly,’ Pew report finds
Anti-crime bill featuring three-strikes provision wins approval from GOP-led House panel in Kentucky
Georgia judge sets a hearing on misconduct allegations against Fani Willis in Trump election case
Hungary won’t back down and change LGBTQ+ and asylum policies criticized by EU, minister says
Megan Fox's ex Brian Austin Green tells Machine Gun Kelly to 'grow up'
Christina Applegate, who has MS, gets standing ovation at Emmys
A Common Fishing Practice Called Bottom Trawling Releases Significant Amounts of CO2 Into Earth’s Atmosphere
US applications for jobless benefits fall to lowest level since September 2022